Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd804b22a44c3d57f695d4450f11a34e5b9abb5d628e700bc57f375b93b79d596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DRXof Nongshim Red Force, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed DRX | 59c | 1,369$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.43 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Nongshim Red Force | 41c | 1,085$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed DRX | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Nongshim Red Force | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed DRX | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Nongshim Red Force | 41c | 270.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 243.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Nongshim Red Force | 38c | 208.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…f309backed Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Nongshim Red Force | 41c | 113.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…000cbacked Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked DRX | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked DRX | 63c | 79.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed DRX | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9994…2e4fbacked DRX | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…c296backed Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…7799backed Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Nongshim Red Force | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Nongshim Red Force | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…40a4backed Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageDRX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX - Game 1 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.