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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DRXof Nongshim Red Force, DRX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed DRX74c23,441$17,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,161.551,63840.2%659 W · 979 L+49.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DRX37c11,640$4,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,337.131,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Nongshim Red Force66c7,353$4,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,818.891,47361.4%904 W · 569 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Nongshim Red Force73c6,780$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,940.1123657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DRX31c6,725$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,630.441,27137.6%478 W · 793 L+33.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Nongshim Red Force1c6,584$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.782072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Nongshim Red Force63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15082452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Nongshim Red Force1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018620.4%38 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nongshim Red Force63c3,300$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0791,07547.1%506 W · 569 L+3.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed DRX52c2,976$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.0125952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Nongshim Red Force64c2,895$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.9154353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Nongshim Red Force62c2,160$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.226942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Nongshim Red Force1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed DRX31c1,935$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.413464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Nongshim Red Force63c1,800$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14251160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Nongshim Red Force65c1,784$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.051,20754%652 W · 555 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed DRX36c1,700$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.41,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked DRX21c1,597$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.231,60742.4%681 W · 926 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Nongshim Red Force63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9451,03052.3%539 W · 491 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed DRX39c1,403$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.661,02046.9%478 W · 542 L+19.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Nongshim Red Force65c1,375$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.0653050.8%269 W · 261 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Nongshim Red Force67c1,374$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.813345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db9…3a33backed Nongshim Red Force68c1,366$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.19366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked DRX26c1,238$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.2317839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Nongshim Red Force62c1,236$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.331,60153.7%859 W · 742 L+55.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed DRX38c1,200$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74450547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked DRX58c1,174$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3411454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked DRX36c1,108$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.1250242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e3…358ebacked Nongshim Red Force64c1,100$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.967647.4%36 W · 40 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed DRX30c1,015$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.3543151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed DRX36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401,82039.2%714 W · 1,106 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Nongshim Red Force64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64029236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed DRX38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62042935.2%151 W · 278 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked Nongshim Red Force2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20440%0 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd17…f596backed Nongshim Red Force1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10290%0 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed DRX31c999.99$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.2521857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Nongshim Red Force64c993.02$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.531,00953.9%544 W · 465 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked DRX36c939.86$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.4585046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Nongshim Red Force69c930.75$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.191,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaddf…5340backed DRX16c923.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.591030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked DRX60c894.97$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.9992354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Nongshim Red Force63c879.49$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.0839851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed DRX35c825.67$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.691,16249.2%572 W · 590 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d7…ff51backed Nongshim Red Force13c752.39$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfd…2818backed Nongshim Red Force66c750.44$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed DRX35c710$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.520438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked DRX27c682.22$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1117826.4%47 W · 131 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed Nongshim Red Force63c680.76$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.2110653.8%57 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked DRX44c648$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.791,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed DRX59c643$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2775342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed DRX59c643$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2718741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked DRX5c631.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.7330421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nongshim Red Force69c603.13$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.012,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked DRX32c600$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.333251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb52d…d750backed DRX35c570.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.152934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed DRX37c513.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.921,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Nongshim Red Force80c500.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032155.5%178 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked DRX60c500$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.221848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed DRX38c499.98$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9910937.6%41 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Nongshim Red Force71c499.97$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9828843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd425…bf47backed Nongshim Red Force49c491.94$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.258551.8%44 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed DRX36c457.75$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7812433.9%42 W · 82 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed DRX21c447.28$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2828924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed DRX30c446.29$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.0370443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked DRX37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521,01749%498 W · 519 L+28.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked DRX15c399.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.991,01048.1%486 W · 524 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…602cbacked Nongshim Red Force65c395.04$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2563441.2%14 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked DRX37c376.68$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.920550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked DRX59c365.31$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7821740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Nongshim Red Force57c339.69$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4921448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed DRX60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3374344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed DRX31c301.17$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3554944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed DRX32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2047950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Nongshim Red Force32c300$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.231535.6%112 W · 203 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Nongshim Red Force16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.566316.4%109 W · 554 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed DRX21c299.33$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8721819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked DRX35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7119640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed DRX37c271$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17145747.9%219 W · 238 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed DRX37c267.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.361,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed DRX38c262.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.891,33153.2%708 W · 623 L+36.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Nongshim Red Force11c261.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.78588.6%5 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478b…24d6backed Nongshim Red Force78c257.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed DRX24c256.25$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.845032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed DRX30c250$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6950643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed DRX18c248.41$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0929923.7%71 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked DRX42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.163751.8%330 W · 307 L+38.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a9e…1359backed DRX24c233.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3310156.4%57 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Nongshim Red Force64c220$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.21,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5320…f3b2backed DRX38c215.61$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6813040%52 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6c…1f67backed DRX36c205$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e4…8672backed DRX18c200$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.825538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked DRX9c200$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18256317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689e…e78dbacked DRX19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x091e…5bcabacked DRX43c199.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.996439.1%25 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed DRX18c199.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9816040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc277…dbf9backed DRX35c181.83$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.191637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Nongshim Red Force56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Nongshim Red Force63c170$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.139750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4e…ee4fbacked Nongshim Red Force64c170$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed DRX36c167.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10740435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.