NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd896c47285f6b1fd1c3d9fc8bc5380ce89243cd06eef38733fcb2d6fafd15c90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Flyers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe685…51adbacked Penguins | 52c | 10,017$5,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…92cabacked Flyers | 48c | 10,016$4,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Flyers | 52c | 8,925$4,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670.07 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Penguins | 51c | 4,651$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.98 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 45c | 2,746$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.11 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Flyers | 3c | 1,183$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Flyers | 10c | 1,171$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins | 46c | 1,028$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.39 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Penguins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Flyers | 5c | 922.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…d9a4backed Penguins | 53c | 870.06$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.93 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…07cbbacked Flyers | 47c | 870.06$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Penguins | 51c | 795.31$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.7 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 4c | 569.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Flyers | 7c | 519.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Penguins | 52c | 479.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.32 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Flyers | 46c | 384.14$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Flyers | 49c | 309.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 47c | 255$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Flyers | 47c | 220.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…8985backed Penguins | 54c | 213.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…6d17backed Flyers | 49c | 213.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0da…0b67backed Penguins | 54c | 212.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4a…51d4backed Flyers | 48c | 212.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…1608backed Flyers | 48c | 212.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee8…b5f5backed Penguins | 54c | 212.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…5c44backed Flyers | 49c | 210.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…3f4bbacked Flyers | 49c | 210.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…6cdebacked Penguins | 53c | 210.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf8…0d70backed Penguins | 54c | 210.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…cf9ebacked Penguins | 54c | 209.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…5a57backed Flyers | 49c | 208.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…d57bbacked Flyers | 49c | 207.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe163…4fabbacked Penguins | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Flyers | 48c | 190.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Flyers | 48c | 190.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Flyers | 9c | 185.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Flyers | 36c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Flyers | 7c | 149.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Flyers | 46c | 141.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Flyers | 45c | 138.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 70c | 124.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…e36dbacked Flyers | 48c | 110.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Flyers | 47c | 106.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0b…878fbacked Flyers | 20c | 96.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Penguins | 37c | 81.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…9367backed Penguins | 54c | 74.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…5da2backed Flyers | 49c | 71.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 47c | 69.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6c5abacked Flyers | 47c | 69.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…6ec6backed Penguins | 52c | 67.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…22c2backed Penguins | 53c | 65.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…39f8backed Penguins | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…11bcbacked Penguins | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…9628backed Penguins | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16d…36f6backed Penguins | 53c | 58.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…d30dbacked Penguins | 53c | 57.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…388ebacked Penguins | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…c0abbacked Penguins | 54c | 55.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…0467backed Penguins | 54c | 53.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8f…6cb9backed Penguins | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Penguins | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…fddabacked Penguins | 53c | 49.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…a317backed Flyers | 47c | 47.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…632dbacked Penguins | 53c | 47.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…61a1backed Penguins | 53c | 47.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…b39bbacked Flyers | 47c | 47.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Flyers | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Flyers | 48c | 46.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…8d34backed Flyers | 48c | 45.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…7319backed Penguins | 52c | 45.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…798bbacked Penguins | 53c | 45.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…a4e2backed Flyers | 55c | 44.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…de7ebacked Penguins | 52c | 44.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…9c20backed Flyers | 48c | 44.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…9797backed Flyers | 47c | 43.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1235…76b3backed Flyers | 47c | 43.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a60…fac4backed Flyers | 47c | 43.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea8…6159backed Penguins | 52c | 43.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…d427backed Flyers | 48c | 43.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a3fbbacked Flyers | 47c | 43.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9e…75c3backed Penguins | 53c | 42.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…7837backed Flyers | 47c | 42.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad80…ff69backed Flyers | 48c | 42.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f2…0b08backed Flyers | 47c | 42.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…110fbacked Penguins | 52c | 42.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…f6fabacked Penguins | 53c | 42.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…442dbacked Penguins | 54c | 41.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…a01dbacked Flyers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…8f77backed Flyers | 49c | 41.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7d…2f23backed Penguins | 51c | 41.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…39fabacked Flyers | 48c | 41.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1a…e0f0backed Penguins | 52c | 41.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…dfe6backed Flyers | 47c | 41.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…9d4dbacked Penguins | 53c | 40.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…e1abbacked Flyers | 47c | 40.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.