MLB · resolved market
Will Boston United FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f21bcf3f2a5cf7db4073fc04f9d20f4b661aea9ba1098ab54f464cb04ac058
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 53c | 4,646$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.01 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 1,967$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.53 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 51c | 1,033$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.38 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 46c | 899.61$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 56c | 892.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 2c | 856.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 46c | 737.63$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.83 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 46c | 615.94$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.61 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 50c | 542.38$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 531$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 530.14$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 46c | 507.24$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.91 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 371.12$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 370.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.23 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 173$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 149.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 149.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 50c | 128.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 49c | 120.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 48c | 95.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 47c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 55c | 47.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yes | 53c | 45.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 55c | 43.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 45c | 39.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 32.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 52c | 19.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Boston United FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Aldershot Town FC win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.