CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd92f8d1137575fbe347b27b697ed00e68c37a373d18ebe8f0b0b558d01b905a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 65c | 4,749$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.23 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…f245backed Over | 34c | 3,979$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Under | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 60c | 368.11$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Over | 48c | 357.57$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.06 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 62c | 337.28$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 227.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 38c | 210.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 42c | 188$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 67c | 182.12$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 58c | 168.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…a968backed Over | 40c | 147.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Over | 40c | 136.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 55c | 72.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 40c | 69.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 31c | 49.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 51c | 29.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Under | 59c | 20.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerHyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.