CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc008cb517e0c1c3f9e20ac55d463c49cd239fa61497fbefa54de2784b8a8f089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof MASONIC, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 46c | 1,918$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.52 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed HyperSpirit | 65c | 1,473$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.92 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed HyperSpirit | 53c | 950.86$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.91 | 430 | 55.1%237 W · 193 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…241ebacked MASONIC | 48c | 828.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed MASONIC | 61c | 651.62$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…fd5bbacked HyperSpirit | 39c | 366.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked HyperSpirit | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked HyperSpirit | 43c | 341.24$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MASONIC | 33c | 330.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 280$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HyperSpirit | 52c | 277$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MASONIC | 35c | 265.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked HyperSpirit | 65c | 243$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked MASONIC | 45c | 240$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 218.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HyperSpirit | 52c | 210.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed MASONIC | 65c | 201.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MASONIC | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked HyperSpirit | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 301 | 23.3%70 W · 231 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked HyperSpirit | 67c | 187.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed MASONIC | 33c | 181.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HyperSpirit | 65c | 180$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HyperSpirit | 66c | 175.15$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked MASONIC | 58c | 172.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed MASONIC | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 35.1%65 W · 120 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed HyperSpirit | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 549 | 38.4%211 W · 338 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed HyperSpirit | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 485 | 43.1%209 W · 276 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MASONIC | 42c | 139$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked MASONIC | 45c | 138.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HyperSpirit | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed HyperSpirit | 70c | 127.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed HyperSpirit | 56c | 110.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked HyperSpirit | 66c | 110.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MASONIC | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…7a52backed MASONIC | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed MASONIC | 41c | 89.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 81.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed MASONIC | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked MASONIC | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked MASONIC | 39c | 78.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked HyperSpirit | 63c | 76.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed MASONIC | 33c | 72.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed HyperSpirit | 53c | 70.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MASONIC | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked MASONIC | 47c | 63.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked HyperSpirit | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed MASONIC | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked HyperSpirit | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MASONIC | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MASONIC | 34c | 47.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HyperSpirit | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…ff81backed HyperSpirit | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked HyperSpirit | 37c | 42.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 278 | 38.1%106 W · 172 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MASONIC | 31c | 40.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked HyperSpirit | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 390 | 72.3%282 W · 108 L | +37.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed MASONIC | 47c | 31.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HyperSpirit | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked MASONIC | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6119backed MASONIC | 56c | 29.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked HyperSpirit | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e89…2d4ebacked MASONIC | 41c | 25.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed MASONIC | 54c | 22.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked HyperSpirit | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed HyperSpirit | 72c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.