Tennis · resolved market
ITF Knokke-Heist: Martha Matoula vs Amelie Van Impe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd98bd42527aceb7ed72c70e51f7f72212ea65b4d3c6bff6d94c992d88c9bd8c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martha Matoulaof Martha Matoula, Amelie Van Impe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7547…d158backed Amelie Van Impe | 46c | 599.96$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.98 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Amelie Van Impe | 50c | 277.62$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Amelie Van Impe | 50c | 277.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Amelie Van Impe | 50c | 272.66$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Martha Matoula | 53c | 131.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martha Matoula | 60c | 125.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Martha Matoula | 49c | 124.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Martha Matoula | 49c | 114.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Martha Matoula | 50c | 96.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Martha Matoula | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Martha Matoula | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Amelie Van Impe | 53c | 68.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…46febacked Martha Matoula | 48c | 66.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Martha Matoula | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Martha Matoula | 37c | 57.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Martha Matoula | 27c | 46.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Amelie Van Impe | 58c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Martha Matoula | 56c | 43.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Amelie Van Impe | 57c | 39.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -25.1wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amelie Van Impe | 34c | 30.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Amelie Van Impe | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Amelie Van Impe | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Martha Matoula | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Amelie Van Impe | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Martha Matoula | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Martha Matoula | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Martha Matoula | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Martha Matoula | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Martha Matoula | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.