CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9a37d7876a74eb7bcb7405dc2196c2a1fc96bec4bd111d674d30f594b0d893e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Crashers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Crashers | 0c | 5,618$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 2,029$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.3 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Crashers | 19c | 841$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.76 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Crashers | 25c | 737$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Crashers | 3c | 672$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Crashers | 25c | 614.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 414.21$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Crashers | 25c | 373.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Crashers | 25c | 360.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Crashers | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Crashers | 25c | 230$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 73c | 209.3$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Crashers | 21c | 153.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Crashers | 29c | 137.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 132.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 69c | 129.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Crashers | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Crashers | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Crashers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Crashers | 25c | 97.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 80.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…da8dbacked Crashers | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Crashers | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Crashers | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 24.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Crashers - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Crashers - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.