Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Galions vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9b14a08d41c52cdfe6dd1854c5a710631612e343a9fd20e5139dc277c8d0781
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Nuxeria Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Galions | 67c | 4,580$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.66 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Galions | 75c | 2,658$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.68 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Nuxeria Esport | 37c | 2,180$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.56 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Nuxeria Esport | 35c | 1,631$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.17 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nuxeria Esport | 13c | 1,130$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Nuxeria Esport | 39c | 508.25$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Nuxeria Esport | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nuxeria Esport | 36c | 489.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuxeria Esport | 18c | 411.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…671bbacked Nuxeria Esport | 4c | 330.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Galions | 78c | 327.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…e913backed Nuxeria Esport | 14c | 303.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nuxeria Esport | 24c | 293.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…01f9backed Nuxeria Esport | 10c | 252.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Nuxeria Esport | 17c | 241.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…0541backed Nuxeria Esport | 15c | 203.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb80…4b74backed Nuxeria Esport | 15c | 187.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8c…1e4dbacked Nuxeria Esport | 15c | 167.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1daa…316ebacked Nuxeria Esport | 9c | 150.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 9cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galions | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631f…cfb2backed Nuxeria Esport | 12c | 143.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Nuxeria Esport | 33c | 143.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Nuxeria Esport | 19c | 142.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nuxeria Esport | 15c | 137$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Nuxeria Esport | 24c | 124.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nuxeria Esport | 20c | 102.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Nuxeria Esport | 11c | 101.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nuxeria Esport | 17c | 95.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Nuxeria Esport | 40c | 70.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuxeria Esport | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Galions | 71c | 32.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Galions | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Galions | 79c | 18.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 78cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Galions | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Galions vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Galions vs Nuxeria Esport - Map 1 WinnerGalions won
- Valorant: Galions vs Nuxeria Esport - Map 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.