Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c557e8d15c5bc6081696d282d9c3cc129a1532ef5f741b28bb601c440d0f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 891.05$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 4c | 635.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 7c | 246.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 27c | 203.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 197.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 179.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 179.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 27c | 134$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 124.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 25c | 114.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 101.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 76c | 81.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 65.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 56.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 56.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 78c | 43.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 40.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 27c | 37.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 76c | 29.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.