Mls · resolved market
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f792d5b90ef058a8a9ca473075e61f14cb658db366cf811080c5ceaf9473c22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 2,558$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.71 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 1,850$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.14 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 1,734$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.25 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 67c | 1,468$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.48 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 48c | 1,119$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.32 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 15c | 1,019$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.62 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yes | 33c | 854.19$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.31 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 79c | 820.9$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 63c | 553.82$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 486.03$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.03 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 32c | 406.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 20c | 400.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 74c | 396.2$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 20c | 386.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 53c | 369$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.25 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 21c | 360.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 348.38$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.11 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 39c | 294.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 52c | 275.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 69c | 262$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 22c | 223.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 221.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 42c | 215.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 50c | 195.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 39c | 180$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 50c | 161.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 33c | 130$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 77c | 129.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 15c | 105.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 33c | 104.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 10c | 103.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +230.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Yes | 37c | 101.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 88.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 85.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 19c | 72.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 36c | 62.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed No | 20c | 59.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 49c | 57.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 49c | 53.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 49c | 52.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 51.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 51c | 49.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 37c | 37.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 80c | 37.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…e6a4backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 49c | 34.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 30.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 50c | 30.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e71…7913backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 80c | 29.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Yes | 51c | 25.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes | 50c | 22.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…952dbacked Yes | 80c | 20.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 80c | 18.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 61cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 80c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 75c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 80c | 14.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Houston Dynamo vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.