South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda731aeecdd398bd625a8ddf398be25471de6d126481c5ad2d3f9dafe6e75ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 4,100$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 78c | 2,984$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 78c | 2,604$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 2,271$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.03 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 1,301$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 531.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Yes | 9c | 335.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 205.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 78c | 120.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 20c | 101.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed No | 79c | 62.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked No | 79c | 29.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-02-02?this page
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-02-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.