South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a1ef41f3039f1cd6a5b5e77a98962ac729fd6211ed3bfb446000d4be8e6e42e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 9,076$5,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,056.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 44c | 9,041$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,063.22 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 46c | 2,385$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.78 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 28c | 1,955$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.32 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,537$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 7c | 1,485$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 56c | 1,387$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.94 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 1,350$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 29c | 1,265$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.35 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 23c | 919.9$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 775.82$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.38 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 654.14$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.62 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 44c | 602.44$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.33 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 13c | 510$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 312.12$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.62 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 45c | 299.87$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 28c | 243$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 29c | 210.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…bc59backed Yes | 28c | 207.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 47c | 153.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…be45backed Yes | 37c | 108.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 102.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 49c | 98.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 44c | 90.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 81.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 55c | 73.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 31c | 61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…0fa8backed No | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 26c | 42.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed No | 52c | 38.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Yes | 45c | 37.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 45c | 33.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…cf80backed Yes | 49c | 30.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 54c | 25.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 55c | 24.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 75c | 18.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-02-02?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-02-02?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.