Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Amelie Smejkalova vs Sofia Camila Rojas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7e666d45bc737c208b10e1e099b5429b300b090aac881448b052553659d9b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Camila Rojasof Amelie Smejkalova, Sofia Camila Rojas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81f6…4488backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 73c | 2,125$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.1 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 62c | 1,557$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amelie Smejkalova | 39c | 1,533$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.76 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Amelie Smejkalova | 27c | 862$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Amelie Smejkalova | 26c | 856.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.53 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amelie Smejkalova | 27c | 349.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 74c | 234.57$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Amelie Smejkalova | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Amelie Smejkalova | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Amelie Smejkalova | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 74c | 163.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…5d8ebacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 63c | 141.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Amelie Smejkalova | 34c | 107.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 74c | 105.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Amelie Smejkalova | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 75c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Amelie Smejkalova | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Amelie Smejkalova | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Amelie Smejkalova | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 79c | 63.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Amelie Smejkalova | 39c | 50.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Amelie Smejkalova | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Amelie Smejkalova | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 73c | 33.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d65…bb09backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 74c | 23.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.