Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab9e8e181fd1222852a293656b01d75a450fa8d7b92ece723fc4a350c60c47b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 51c | 15,451$7,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,538.46 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.99 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 9,713$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 47c | 6,821$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.83 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 5,229$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 4,497$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.18 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 2,140$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.58 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 49c | 1,000$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 985.84$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.2 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 801.89$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.89 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Under | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 52c | 752.36$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.13 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 691.94$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.05 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 521$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 317$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.16 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 249.23$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 47c | 111.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…da6dbacked Under | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 53c | 86.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 50.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed Under | 53c | 45.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…aa2cbacked Under | 53c | 20.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 152.5this page
- Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State AggiesUtah State Aggies won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-10.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-9.5)Utah State Aggies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.