Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dde580712db22efbff173d2228ba87aa9c5d2e794800a27c522978111881671
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof Boise State Broncos, Utah State Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Utah State Aggies | 78c | 4,488$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.22 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Boise State Broncos | 19c | 4,110$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.93 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boise State Broncos | 1c | 2,414$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boise State Broncos | 13c | 2,317$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.57 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boise State Broncos | 31c | 2,070$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.05 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Boise State Broncos | 11c | 1,467$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Boise State Broncos | 21c | 1,425$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Boise State Broncos | 21c | 1,364$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Boise State Broncos | 4c | 1,246$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Boise State Broncos | 13c | 1,103$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Boise State Broncos | 18c | 1,083$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Boise State Broncos | 18c | 687.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Boise State Broncos | 17c | 615.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Boise State Broncos | 15c | 599.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos | 11c | 576.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…eec3backed Boise State Broncos | 18c | 555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Boise State Broncos | 19c | 530$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Boise State Broncos | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Boise State Broncos | 10c | 522.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Boise State Broncos | 32c | 501.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Boise State Broncos | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Boise State Broncos | 16c | 463.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Boise State Broncos | 25c | 422.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Boise State Broncos | 18c | 364.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Boise State Broncos | 20c | 335.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Utah State Aggies | 72c | 305$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boise State Broncos | 34c | 303.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Boise State Broncos | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Boise State Broncos | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Boise State Broncos | 34c | 293.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Utah State Aggies | 69c | 266.82$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Boise State Broncos | 19c | 221.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Boise State Broncos | 35c | 216.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boise State Broncos | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…8e68backed Utah State Aggies | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Boise State Broncos | 15c | 127.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boise State Broncos | 18c | 126.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Boise State Broncos | 35c | 118.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…8823backed Boise State Broncos | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…eaa2backed Boise State Broncos | 20c | 76.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boise State Broncos | 17c | 68.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Boise State Broncos | 20c | 55.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Boise State Broncos | 26c | 53.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…940fbacked Boise State Broncos | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Utah State Aggies | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Utah State Aggies | 80c | 26.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Utah State Aggies | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Utah State Aggies | 80c | 16.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggiesthis page
- Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-10.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-9.5)Utah State Aggies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.