Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maine Black Bears vs. Bryant Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdae6f4039d9eadad56df09849a696b27804458c5d435f62b875f25aab1ad6357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bryant Bulldogsof Maine Black Bears, Bryant Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maine Black Bears | 17c | 814.26$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.29 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bryant Bulldogs | 49c | 390$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 79c | 319.86$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Maine Black Bears | 31c | 318.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maine Black Bears | 8c | 214$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bryant Bulldogs | 58c | 200.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Maine Black Bears | 42c | 198$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maine Black Bears | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bryant Bulldogs | 69c | 146.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Bryant Bulldogs | 77c | 130.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Maine Black Bears | 32c | 129.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bryant Bulldogs | 78c | 123.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 67c | 84.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maine Black Bears | 49c | 68.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Maine Black Bears | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Maine Black Bears | 49c | 50.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 48c | 49.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Maine Black Bears | 33c | 48.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 56c | 37.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…e7a8backed Maine Black Bears | 44c | 30.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 74c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bryant Bulldogs | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Bryant Bulldogs | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.