Lol · resolved market
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs La BOMBAS (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb002b768551fe2158225106317e169ec6d1f8df16e9077e0dcc54fa584b7fb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- La BOMBASof 4 SWINES & A BUM, La BOMBAS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked La BOMBAS | 56c | 1,484$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.33 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9560…9467backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 53c | 1,133$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.79 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed La BOMBAS | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 56c | 970.3$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.37 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 49c | 737.57$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.83 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed La BOMBAS | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 29c | 664.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…2a7cbacked La BOMBAS | 55c | 424.16$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 45c | 366.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.86 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed La BOMBAS | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed La BOMBAS | 45c | 297.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 30c | 257.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed La BOMBAS | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 48c | 195.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 54c | 187.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 52c | 165.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed La BOMBAS | 49c | 161.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 55c | 149.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 16c | 114.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed La BOMBAS | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked La BOMBAS | 45c | 99.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed La BOMBAS | 51c | 92.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 55c | 83.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 68c | 81.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…58bcbacked La BOMBAS | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…216abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked La BOMBAS | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd870…34c6backed La BOMBAS | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 52c | 48.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 66.9%95 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked La BOMBAS | 73c | 34.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed La BOMBAS | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.