Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb10084c3f3f7b6b476c71188fdf7ce419bb472bb6313907d95f56d839b00ad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 72c | 3,122$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.24 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…0f80backed Yes | 28c | 2,857$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…e43fbacked Yes | 28c | 363.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 73c | 168$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 27c | 119.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 68cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…2e0dbacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Freiburg beat Eintracht Frankfurt?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt beat SC Freiburg?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.