Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb21cd8b65d97ef7089ea3b064b99a6df3c6eac47922092cd9e239ac3d0e4d6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 77c | 3,042$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.32 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 1,640$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.49 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 73c | 639.4$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 26c | 562$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 73c | 479$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 25c | 299.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 287.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 217.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 27c | 217$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 51c | 147.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 104$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 25c | 98.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 48c | 90.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 73c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 78c | 29.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 77c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: Jeju SK FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.