Boxing · resolved market
Will Anthony Joshua beat Daniel Dubois?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb49fe790b0065c71a14a055b33023b25c6e06bbbf024db22dcf2df78762d3ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duboisof Joshua, Dubois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Joshua | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 1cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Joshua | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 5cpaid | +779.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Joshua | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…c8d7backed Dubois | 23c | 1,094$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Dubois | 22c | 999.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.95 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked Joshua | 78c | 962$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Joshua | 77c | 544.28$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Joshua | 76c | 275.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…c597backed Joshua | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Joshua | 52c | 162.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Joshua | 77c | 150$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Dubois | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +251.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Joshua | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Dubois | 23c | 90.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…a88cbacked Dubois | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…5113backed Dubois | 42c | 71.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Dubois | 23c | 64.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…3aecbacked Dubois | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…f3f3backed Dubois | 21c | 62.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Dubois | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 34cpaid | +224.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Joshua | 78c | 44.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…cf80backed Joshua | 78c | 38.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x943d…09d6backed Joshua | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Joshua | 74c | 13.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthony Joshua beat Daniel Dubois?this page
- Will Joshua win by KO/TKO vs. Dubois?No won
- Will the fight reach the 8th round?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.