Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb92758f90619efbc06738b6573ab301c1074e91484e7e225f4573732e16df7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Fighting Hawksof Oral Roberts Golden Eagles, North Dakota Fighting Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 3c | 4,524$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 22c | 4,180$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.11 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 6c | 3,958$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.42 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 74c | 2,137$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.79 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 10c | 1,866$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 78c | 1,762$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 78c | 1,654$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.21 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 43c | 1,067$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 29c | 826.43$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.77 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 57c | 641$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.63 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 56c | 290.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 33c | 275.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 74c | 248.7$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 45c | 178.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 79c | 158.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 19c | 148.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…7c45backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 72c | 64.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 79c | 61.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 26c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 56c | 36.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 43c | 36.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 74c | 33.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 43c | 24.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 55c | 20.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksthis page
- Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 147.5Under won
- Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: North Dakota Fighting Hawks (-1.5)North Dakota Fighting Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.