CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba8d19f8e0b11ac14203c0a14fa8d15e76c8d4e35aa6e99193881ef42d7fe8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIA Academyof paiN Academy, BESTIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked paiN Academy | 36c | 1,907$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.68 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked BESTIA Academy | 64c | 1,485$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.43 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed BESTIA Academy | 64c | 1,200$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed paiN Academy | 36c | 1,174$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.65 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked paiN Academy | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed paiN Academy | 39c | 416.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked BESTIA Academy | 64c | 330.84$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked BESTIA Academy | 65c | 306.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed paiN Academy | 36c | 298.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed BESTIA Academy | 62c | 164.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA Academy | 64c | 135$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked BESTIA Academy | 62c | 129.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA Academy | 65c | 126.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed BESTIA Academy | 60c | 124.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BESTIA Academy | 65c | 113.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed BESTIA Academy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed BESTIA Academy | 65c | 98.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed paiN Academy | 37c | 93.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed BESTIA Academy | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed paiN Academy | 37c | 84.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked BESTIA Academy | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed BESTIA Academy | 61c | 34.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed BESTIA Academy | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed BESTIA Academy | 63c | 25.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.