Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd298fa42d57230a9bf587940873b640287d58c25e1ccba7ee14ddbe801b784
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 75c | 810.23$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 32c | 610.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.69 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 374.36$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 18c | 311.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 285.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 18c | 266$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 68c | 205$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 198.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 54c | 192.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over | 77c | 168.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 46c | 147.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 68c | 100.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 77.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 79c | 74.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 61.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 37c | 59.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 33c | 57.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 70c | 54.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Under | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 43c | 46.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 41.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 74c | 37.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 36c | 35.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 68c | 27.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked Over | 68c | 23.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.