TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Ahli Saudi Clubof Al Ahli Saudi Club, Al Fateh Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,401 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club45c3,243$1,470 inLost-$1,470.286060%36 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Al Ahli Saudi Club56c2,807$1,560 inWon+$1,246.462360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club45c685.07$311 inWon+$374.336142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Fateh Saudi Club46c598.54$275 inLost-$275.175,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Al Ahli Saudi Club52c277.92$145 inWon+$133.41833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Al Fateh Saudi Club55c266.82$148 inLost-$147.5221449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Fateh Saudi Club54c226.98$123 inLost-$122.551,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Al Ahli Saudi Club50c200$100 inWon+$100580%4 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick31cpaid+208.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40d2…1959backed Al Ahli Saudi Club54c185.19$100 inWon+$85.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Al Fateh Saudi Club56c145.59$81 inLost-$81.4417340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Al Fateh Saudi Club55c144.88$79 inLost-$79.392,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club56c140$78 inWon+$61.618256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Al Fateh Saudi Club54c134.72$73 inLost-$72.773928.2%11 W · 28 L-9.0wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club47c126.77$60 inWon+$67.1937559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed Al Ahli Saudi Club44c100$44 inWon+$56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec1…efe6backed Al Ahli Saudi Club50c99$50 inWon+$49.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Al Fateh Saudi Club48c82.69$40 inLost-$39.6911759%69 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Al Fateh Saudi Club51c78.43$40 inLost-$406538.5%25 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Al Ahli Saudi Club53c60$32 inWon+$28.242351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club52c57.69$30 inWon+$27.699246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Al Ahli Saudi Club58c50.23$29 inWon+$21.17157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club51c49$25 inWon+$24.0115549%76 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Al Fateh Saudi Club45c47.8$21 inLost-$21.36147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Al Ahli Saudi Club54c44.1$24 inWon+$20.2919856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf875…256cbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club43c42.79$19 inWon+$24.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Al Ahli Saudi Club54c41.25$22 inWon+$18.971,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Al Fateh Saudi Club49c40.18$20 inLost-$19.5154354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Al Ahli Saudi Club51c39.22$20 inWon+$19.222661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Al Fateh Saudi Club48c38.21$18 inLost-$18.2816252.5%85 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9833…1e38backed Al Ahli Saudi Club59c33.9$20 inWon+$13.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdf…e0c6backed Al Fateh Saudi Club48c31.25$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club39c28.17$11 inLost-$11.123052.6%121 W · 109 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Al Ahli Saudi Club53c26.41$14 inWon+$12.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef30…0d30backed Al Fateh Saudi Club50c23$12 inLost-$11.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club55c20$11 inWon+$97948.1%38 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.