Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea9cbcf63b56c6e8f7d6942140985d6f87ad078fe6052076afb9ba213e9252da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Fateh Saudi Clubof Al Ahli Saudi Club, Al Fateh Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 75c | 682.7$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.12 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Ahli Saudi Club | 23c | 448.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 70c | 240$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 70c | 123.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 23c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 64c | 57.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…7483backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 30c | 52.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 55c | 38.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 71c | 36.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Al Ahli Saudi Club | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 70c | 29.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…c0b5backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…0d30backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…f668backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…1e7abacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…9f5bbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.