Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb1bb4188e8740d8cd3d6381304dbb05c6409be49c48f7d52e9dba5c7430e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 6,146$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.97 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 42c | 4,559$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.89 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 49c | 2,637$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.18 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,054$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.42 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 50c | 1,110$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.75 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 45c | 290$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 56c | 268.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 37c | 244.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 57c | 199$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 70c | 197.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 30c | 172.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 44c | 171.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Under | 74c | 138.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 129.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 39c | 122.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 115.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 47c | 102.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 39c | 94.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 86.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Under | 61c | 80.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 34c | 76.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 66c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed Over | 44c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 57c | 57.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 44c | 56.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 60c | 50.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 38c | 44.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 58c | 42.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 42c | 34.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 56c | 30.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 45c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…9cd3backed Under | 57c | 26.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 63c | 26.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…c0b5backed Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 59c | 25.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 60c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 23.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Under | 65c | 21.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.