Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbf3adf8297eba7407475cf699af79d133702ff8de3768715715e652956955b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 2,939$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.05 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 1,708$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 1,001$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.97 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 31c | 671.35$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.23 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 666.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.41 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 22c | 563.03$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 502.28$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.43 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 26c | 498.87$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 34c | 456.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.29 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 59c | 278.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 37c | 267.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.4 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 69c | 246$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Yes | 31c | 160.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 54c | 92.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 33c | 80.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 26c | 74.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 40c | 56.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 78c | 54.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 51.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 51.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 46.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 68c | 44.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 37c | 40.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 34.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 78c | 26.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 57c | 21.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 59c | 18.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.