TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,490 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c1,528$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.133,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Over45c1,483$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c990.99$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.5887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over32c619.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over17c315.87$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.447240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over53c228.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over47c211.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fe4…be56backed Over51c199.53$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x385a…5341backed Under49c199$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3b…d2e9backed Under49c198$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e0…0ff5backed Over51c197.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb572…802cbacked Under49c193$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1984…5953backed Under49c192$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09cf…5c26backed Over51c180.85$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf304…06abbacked Under49c179$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x660f…950abacked Under49c179$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0957…fc8bbacked Under49c179$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb038…f22fbacked Over51c177.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…67e4backed Under49c177$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c176.54$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1482044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7407…4120backed Over51c176.23$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389e…38a3backed Under49c176$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…71ccbacked Over51c174.26$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3124backed Over51c173.43$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1059…a714backed Over51c173.09$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b64…606fbacked Under49c173$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d2c…26dcbacked Under49c173$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2f…aa3abacked Under49c173$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe376…f8a7backed Over51c172.39$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe034…7f13backed Over51c172.15$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d08…1006backed Over51c172$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4874…4ba3backed Under49c172$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x967b…18e1backed Under49c172$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea7…a138backed Over51c171.03$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33d9…d2bfbacked Under49c171$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abd…67bcbacked Over51c170.37$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ada…7be5backed Over51c168.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…95e5backed Under49c168$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa48…8363backed Over51c167.15$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5815…8301backed Over51c167.15$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d5…5066backed Over51c167.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9faf…2262backed Over51c166.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…a566backed Under49c165$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e2…def4backed Under49c164$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…8037backed Over51c163.74$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa2…b175backed Under50c163$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4322…4cbebacked Under49c163$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9f…2b84backed Under49c162$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x048a…0f34backed Over51c161.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb9…07dbbacked Under49c159$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf139…153cbacked Over51c158.69$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…d747backed Under49c155.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b4…eae4backed Over51c155.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…5857backed Over51c154.31$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4944…88e1backed Over51c154.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe5…2e05backed Over51c153.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113b…9796backed Under49c153$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7866…7bb3backed Under49c153$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e7…bceabacked Under49c152$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e95…02a3backed Over51c151.91$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576a…80babacked Over51c150.57$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb12f…ab63backed Under49c149$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd5…edffbacked Under49c149$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3dc…3ca3backed Over51c145.47$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656f…b4c7backed Over51c144.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf18…a377backed Under49c144$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x315d…1fe2backed Over51c140.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d0…50ddbacked Under49c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c7…67babacked Over51c138.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…bc48backed Under49c137$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215b…3fc5backed Over51c136.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec61…a8c2backed Over51c136.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb25b…a93bbacked Over51c136.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa060…08f6backed Under49c136$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c10…6156backed Under49c135$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…a9bfbacked Over51c134.29$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf972…fe77backed Under49c134$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over53c133$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.494932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d2b…b8c5backed Over51c132.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a8…0712backed Under49c131$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfb…6536backed Over51c131$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198e…4846backed Under49c130.91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c128.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.658043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x676c…cc1abacked Over51c126.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0096…99b2backed Under49c126$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a9…c2bfbacked Under49c125$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9a…aff3backed Under49c125$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ed…2feabacked Over51c124.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a1…a175backed Over51c121.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33c…4f05backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332f…c6d3backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3413243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over12c99.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under50c93.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9112848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7225149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c84.06$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.