Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Kayla Day vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdce9d088628815f56d5b763b4aaab12da7cdbf73d34bf5448d26e279ffd823af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kayla Dayof Kayla Day, Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 62c | 6,270$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.63 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kayla Day | 38c | 3,065$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.22 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Kayla Day | 38c | 2,578$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.13 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 77c | 2,127$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.73 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Kayla Day | 32c | 1,886$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.7 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kayla Day | 79c | 1,528$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.53 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kayla Day | 35c | 1,493$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 63c | 1,361$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.38 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kayla Day | 53c | 782.45$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.06 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 48c | 689.25$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 18c | 533.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 50c | 527.83$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.71 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kayla Day | 36c | 527.54$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.06 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 51c | 394.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 26c | 383.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Kayla Day | 70c | 373.01$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kayla Day | 24c | 342.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.17 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 73c | 342$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 50c | 315.12$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kayla Day | 21c | 266.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kayla Day | 39c | 248.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…8296backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 42c | 238.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 27c | 236.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Kayla Day | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Kayla Day | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Kayla Day | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 77c | 173.06$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.06 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 77c | 166$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 30c | 162.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Kayla Day | 55c | 151.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…24c0backed Kayla Day | 30c | 129.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 76c | 113.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…c9eebacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 75c | 110.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 77c | 103.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Kayla Day | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 78c | 98.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 22c | 92.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 76c | 88.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Kayla Day | 23c | 85.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kayla Day | 24c | 81.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 46c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…6cd6backed Kayla Day | 60c | 66.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 76c | 64.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Kayla Day | 72c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 31c | 56.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Kayla Day | 78c | 52.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kayla Day | 30c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 75c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Kayla Day | 24c | 43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 76c | 37.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 39c | 31.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.