Champions League · resolved market
Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd0abeaeaed505f0f2b1c9234b58abb71f115beb6e361f72635a0bb13837d8bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 44c | 2,260$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.18 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 69c | 1,618$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.72 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,110$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.58 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 15c | 501.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.6 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 49c | 243.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 48c | 189.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked No | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…83aebacked No | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked Yes | 49c | 102.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 50c | 89.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 49c | 79.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 47c | 67.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 54.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 45.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 50c | 26.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Larne FC (-1.5)Tre Fiori FC won
- Spread: Larne FC (-2.5)Tre Fiori FC won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: Larne FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: Tre Fiori FC O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.