Asian League · resolved market
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd352daaa00654dd147b7b77581638be53bd3681e566a36a14424dcc0840ca36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 2,009$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.76 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 1,334$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.47 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 35c | 607$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 35c | 396.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 33c | 270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 13c | 256.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 242.47$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 1,155 | 49.3%569 W · 586 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed No | 65c | 214.62$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 177.37$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 78c | 169.3$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 90.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 65c | 78.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,084 | 41.5%450 W · 634 L | -39.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 36c | 65.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 32c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 337 | 49.6%167 W · 170 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 41.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Yes | 36c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 77c | 37.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 23.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.