Tennis · resolved market
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Luca Van Assche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd77c350ca1dd16466067cc664a9fbf1c7d1d0c55aaa1431f3964dd40f8954bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Van Asscheof Daniel Galan, Luca Van Assche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Galan | 1c | 11,588$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Daniel Galan | 17c | 4,470$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.5 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Daniel Galan | 1c | 3,640$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Daniel Galan | 20c | 3,109$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.88 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Daniel Galan | 25c | 1,679$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.73 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Luca Van Assche | 75c | 1,394$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.24 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daniel Galan | 11c | 1,382$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Daniel Galan | 24c | 1,251$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Daniel Galan | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.98 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Daniel Galan | 17c | 999.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.45 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Daniel Galan | 11c | 964.72$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Luca Van Assche | 62c | 772.61$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.59 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Daniel Galan | 15c | 495.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Daniel Galan | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Daniel Galan | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Daniel Galan | 9c | 249$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daniel Galan | 37c | 245.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Daniel Galan | 5c | 240$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Daniel Galan | 11c | 237.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Luca Van Assche | 62c | 230$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Luca Van Assche | 62c | 221.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Luca Van Assche | 62c | 200.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Luca Van Assche | 63c | 187.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luca Van Assche | 71c | 183.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Daniel Galan | 12c | 176.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Daniel Galan | 11c | 173.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Luca Van Assche | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Luca Van Assche | 62c | 143.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luca Van Assche | 62c | 77.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Luca Van Assche | 61c | 72.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Daniel Galan | 39c | 48.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a6…eee1backed Luca Van Assche | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Luca Van Assche | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…078ebacked Daniel Galan | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…b417backed Luca Van Assche | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Luca Van Assche | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Luca Van Assche | 72c | 18.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Luca Van Assche | 62c | 18.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.