Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7d6c688a2847ebac7b4c91a23cd1a1eb8c90cb124254ef734ce6f8a10e75f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BBL Esportsof Team Vitality, BBL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Team Vitality | 35c | 1,250$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BBL Esports | 67c | 1,075$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.94 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Team Vitality | 35c | 680$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed BBL Esports | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed BBL Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed BBL Esports | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Team Vitality | 38c | 204$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed BBL Esports | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BBL Esports | 65c | 181.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…2b6dbacked Team Vitality | 60c | 174.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed Team Vitality | 52c | 171.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked BBL Esports | 40c | 171.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…dd5dbacked Team Vitality | 53c | 163.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed BBL Esports | 66c | 152.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed BBL Esports | 62c | 102.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BBL Esports | 62c | 92.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed BBL Esports | 37c | 88.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…ca81backed Team Vitality | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Team Vitality | 62c | 85.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Team Vitality | 33c | 82.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed BBL Esports | 67c | 80.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Team Vitality | 33c | 80.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BBL Esports | 67c | 77.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed BBL Esports | 68c | 70.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed BBL Esports | 66c | 70.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed BBL Esports | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Vitality | 32c | 52.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed BBL Esports | 39c | 51.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked BBL Esports | 37c | 48.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed BBL Esports | 61c | 35.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed BBL Esports | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BBL Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaBBL Esports won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports - Map 1 WinnerBBL Esports won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports - Map 2 WinnerBBL Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.