South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7fef514f32082aadbe0d838b370c79c35700c04465e5755b2bd0829b7e6fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,304 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,270$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 1,124$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.2 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 56c | 500$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 43c | 399.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 34c | 370.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 34c | 218.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 211.9$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…d1cfbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 197.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 43c | 161$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 79c | 101.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 101.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed Over | 58c | 78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 67.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 60c | 55.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 62c | 48.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe47a…090bbacked Over | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 38.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…d55cbacked Under | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…7dc4backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Over | 74c | 33.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 37c | 28.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 41c | 26.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 21.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Over | 57c | 20.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1c…0e2cbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5this page
- Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.