Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddc49cf9540f7f965ab26734e1982d176960eaa4577bcb15addd700a972bf766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Over | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 2,822$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.62 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Under | 34c | 1,761$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 27c | 1,296$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.3 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 735.77$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.82 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 68c | 450$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.75 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 34c | 400.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.04 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 61c | 222.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 56c | 178.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 75c | 173.19$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 72c | 135.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 125.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 13c | 114$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 79c | 109.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 60c | 91.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 31c | 86.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 70.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 43c | 56.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…e303backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…6f2abacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 31.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 69c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 35c | 29.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe28d…9c81backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.