Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Missouri State Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8f1e6d08eb78f04be7e1b36df2853f67b02c7ac224839f4639c41d431a48a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri State Bearsof Jacksonville State Gamecocks, Missouri State Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Missouri State Bears | 73c | 2,468$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 21c | 1,654$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.26 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 4c | 1,572$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 30c | 1,397$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.48 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 26c | 770$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 26c | 575.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…e38abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 19c | 529.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Missouri State Bears | 77c | 460.43$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 14c | 438$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 5c | 306.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Missouri State Bears | 71c | 291.51$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 11c | 288.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 5c | 280.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Missouri State Bears | 62c | 157.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 38c | 157.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 29c | 136.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 26c | 133.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 13c | 113$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 23c | 96.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…cf1bbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 16c | 90.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Missouri State Bears | 58c | 48.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Missouri State Bears | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 35c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Missouri State Bears | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 38c | 27.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Missouri State Bears | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.