TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TDK vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TDKof TDK, GenOne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed TDK77c1,070$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.751,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GenOne25c873$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.825,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK72c797.67$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.497,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TDK70c700.91$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.271,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked GenOne17c521$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.733,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GenOne36c404.14$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked TDK76c291.56$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.741,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GenOne20c206.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.896,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GenOne28c199.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.772,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GenOne13c174.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.495,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed TDK75c162.44$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.252,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GenOne33c151.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.554,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne32c149.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed GenOne25c144.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1155950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked TDK65c118.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4821354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked TDK68c109.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3526246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed TDK79c107$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1520344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GenOne33c98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.722,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed GenOne30c94.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.319441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked GenOne31c92.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.971,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GenOne28c92.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.024,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82a2…a875backed GenOne35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked TDK69c82.16$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.579061.1%55 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed GenOne30c74.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.317944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GenOne27c56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.964,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GenOne23c51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.732,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed TDK70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1520258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed TDK68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1623158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TDK63c46.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.94,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked GenOne29c43.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.429865.3%64 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked TDK63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.674131.7%13 W · 28 L-8.1wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed TDK67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed GenOne35c30.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8564046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed GenOne38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46365.1%41 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TDK75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.352,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed TDK67c17.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6737841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41f6…f591backed TDK67c15.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.168236.6%30 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.