Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. UIC Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5bf1475a77f6a87ca9c9fa365dfecbfe111e991f8f282eac640bf73a399b08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UIC Flamesof Southern Illinois Salukis, UIC Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 6c | 14,381$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.43 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed UIC Flames | 48c | 1,811$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.97 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 13c | 970$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UIC Flames | 65c | 802.12$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.1 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 57c | 733.54$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 53c | 452.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 21c | 190.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 56c | 166.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked UIC Flames | 47c | 147.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 10c | 108$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 54c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UIC Flames | 43c | 56.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed UIC Flames | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 53c | 40.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 56c | 34.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UIC Flames | 75c | 33.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked UIC Flames | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed UIC Flames | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed UIC Flames | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. UIC Flamesthis page
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. UIC Flames: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-1.5)UIC Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.