Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf7320b5b1bf3f2021cd4cef7c59905850232aabfd7754a5ecfae1dfae87650b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dimitar Kuzmanovof Lorenzo Giustino, Dimitar Kuzmanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,987 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lorenzo Giustino | 9c | 4,789$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.47 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…8189backed Lorenzo Giustino | 43c | 2,741$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lorenzo Giustino | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Lorenzo Giustino | 16c | 2,214$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 64c | 2,031$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.25 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 57c | 1,712$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.4 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 25c | 1,442$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.97 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 42c | 1,417$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.2 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lorenzo Giustino | 41c | 1,261$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.85 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Lorenzo Giustino | 36c | 1,005$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.84 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Lorenzo Giustino | 36c | 938.13$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.73 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 59c | 761.67$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.55 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 10c | 607.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…623bbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 59c | 570$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 15c | 500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 13c | 497.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 59c | 420.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.87 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Lorenzo Giustino | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 62c | 334.44$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lorenzo Giustino | 28c | 289.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Lorenzo Giustino | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 40c | 249.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lorenzo Giustino | 18c | 216.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Lorenzo Giustino | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Lorenzo Giustino | 43c | 187.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 36c | 148.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 58c | 59.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 73c | 59.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…94b0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…d6dbbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 41c | 48.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lorenzo Giustino | 34c | 46.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Lorenzo Giustino | 38c | 33.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 74c | 33.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 58c | 32.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…2156backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 26.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…4330backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 59c | 21.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 70c | 21.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 43 | 86%37 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanovthis page
- Giustino vs. Kuzmanov: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Giustino vs KuzmanovKuzmanov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.