CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfae18654af36f06dd5fed876bba036bf2247fef896da752241402852ac8f45f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WRAITH PCIFICof Misa Esports, WRAITH PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0159…db47backed Misa Esports | 15c | 3,537$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports | 18c | 1,712$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 23c | 635.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 55c | 541.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…7a1ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 77c | 505.05$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 76c | 500$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…6c5dbacked Misa Esports | 31c | 410.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 57c | 381.73$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.82 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Misa Esports | 27c | 354.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 19c | 328.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Misa Esports | 62c | 324.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 66c | 303.52$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Misa Esports | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 57c | 280.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Misa Esports | 29c | 255$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Misa Esports | 28c | 236.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 218$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 67c | 206.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports | 18c | 174.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 67c | 162.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 45c | 159$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Misa Esports | 20c | 127.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 15c | 124$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 68c | 113.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 107.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 29c | 101$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 100.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…6a04backed Misa Esports | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Misa Esports | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad7…6096backed Misa Esports | 27c | 84.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 24c | 80.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports | 23c | 67.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 45c | 63.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 62.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Misa Esports | 44c | 62.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 78c | 51.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 46c | 44.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Misa Esports | 55c | 43.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 63c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 39c | 33.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Misa Esports | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Misa Esports | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…acbbbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 53c | 26.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed Misa Esports | 62c | 25.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…88f8backed Misa Esports | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 44c | 24.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed Misa Esports | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Misa Esports | 53c | 20.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f6…cb46backed Misa Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Misa Esports | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 WinnerWRAITH PCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.