Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdff2c6924132e0c37584413413153bab14dd779c55d48f70acce4da9683132da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 25c | 19,999$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.79 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 7,580$5,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.7 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 4,306$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.07 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 3,598$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.51 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,823$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 1,607$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.65 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 941$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.25 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 20c | 900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 850.52$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 35c | 602.86$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 34c | 593.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 75c | 554.4$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 68c | 518.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 21c | 449.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 442.06$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 75c | 416$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 67c | 397$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked No | 79c | 299.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 280.97$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 19c | 265.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 22c | 196.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 154.55$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…adb6backed Yes | 21c | 151.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 144.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…e3e8backed Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…72f3backed No | 76c | 129.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 129.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 75c | 118$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 11c | 109.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 105.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed No | 75c | 102$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ef33backed Yes | 27c | 88.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 86.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 86.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 72c | 51.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 74c | 43.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 38.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 40c | 33.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Yes | 38c | 30.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 79c | 28.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 71c | 27.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…7a04backed Yes | 45c | 24.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 23.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 21.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 21.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 21.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 68c | 15.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 70c | 14.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-06?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.