Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe005b7c063e70bfb7676068e41df0a075262cbc341b4756781222be08ad7a551
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Havre ACof Olympique Lyonnais, Le Havre AC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 7,956$5,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.85 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Olympique Lyonnais | 30c | 6,378$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.14 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Le Havre AC | 66c | 1,215$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Olympique Lyonnais | 25c | 1,136$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.64 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 607.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 42c | 532.89$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.34 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 468.25$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 400.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.01 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 205.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 36c | 138.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Le Havre AC | 76c | 133.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 30c | 64.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Le Havre AC | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Le Havre AC | 68c | 50.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Le Havre AC | 68c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.