Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Yuto Oki vs Kokoro Isomura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe00c9ead44ca8e1fd5b0b7c8580588e2ab76d72837a0041ce496431e4e21f7aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kokoro Isomuraof Yuto Oki, Kokoro Isomura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yuto Oki | 15c | 1,425$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.21 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yuto Oki | 16c | 860.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kokoro Isomura | 80c | 635.93$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yuto Oki | 61c | 462.59$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kokoro Isomura | 79c | 405.97$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kokoro Isomura | 80c | 366.69$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Yuto Oki | 61c | 295.76$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.41 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yuto Oki | 6c | 187.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yuto Oki | 27c | 182.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kokoro Isomura | 55c | 166.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kokoro Isomura | 58c | 161$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kokoro Isomura | 59c | 157.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Kokoro Isomura | 76c | 136$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Kokoro Isomura | 47c | 105.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yuto Oki | 31c | 100.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kokoro Isomura | 47c | 96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kokoro Isomura | 60c | 81.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Kokoro Isomura | 78c | 80.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yuto Oki | 26c | 63.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Kokoro Isomura | 68c | 40.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Yuto Oki | 50c | 32.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Kokoro Isomura | 64c | 24.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Kokoro Isomura | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Kokoro Isomura | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.