TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-08-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86da…6428backed Yes43c24,374$10,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,893.241353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No55c22,733$12,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,471.11,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No57c12,019$6,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,850.6217249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Yes43c10,000$4,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,712.711050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes71c3,721$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.232,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes49c3,606$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.7474739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No31c3,182$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.3882842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No53c2,622$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.4134847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed No51c2,085$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.451353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes47c1,595$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.3593446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes47c1,595$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.351,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed No52c555.55$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.89450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes47c479.07$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.911,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c471.44$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.071,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c459.81$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.881,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaee…2fffbacked Yes49c448.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.981656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No33c418.59$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.996846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c410.22$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.331,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.18854.5%48 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked No52c370.37$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.591464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed No58c336.83$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c327.48$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.181,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x383f…5631backed No17c299.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick24cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed No57c263.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes78c240$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.92343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562875%21 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes48c232.36$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.751,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272878.6%22 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.28per pick51cpaid+54.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x276a…fc66backed Yes70c200.9$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab5…db66backed Yes43c200.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed No52c185.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked No52c185.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed No52c185.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No58c167.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.341241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c147$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.695,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes54c129.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0227148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No52c122.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5617058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes47c119.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.761,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No58c115.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0431960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed No52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed No31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ff…025fbacked Yes44c109.45$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4aa…0904backed Yes49c104.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.081560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes47c103.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0424061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes44c102.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2711141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574060%24 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9a2…9d1cbacked No52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed No52c94.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed No52c92.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x703a…391bbacked No52c83.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No30c81.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5729425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes45c79.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.994238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca42…a02abacked Yes42c79.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…7593backed No52c77.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce09…4fdcbacked No52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No55c75.35$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.447647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked No55c71.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes42c71.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.514450%22 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No30c70.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8517151.5%88 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa637…bacfbacked Yes72c68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes44c68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.082623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8233…df36backed No45c66.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes41c66.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3225155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5637…949ebacked Yes43c62.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No58c62.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.947957%45 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed No57c58.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.441338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes47c58.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.832,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Yes43c57.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.915335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c3a…50aebacked Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f8…ed4ebacked Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+69.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No50c55.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.69944.4%44 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x926d…6aa7backed Yes74c54.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes42c50.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.443231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Yes44c47.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.827973.4%58 W · 21 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed Yes41c47.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.053375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes40c45.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9137153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No54c41.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3628253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No57c40.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.959851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed Yes72c40.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.062250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes47c40.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.235152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Yes44c39.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.891258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8652…93cebacked No52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d5…ab77backed No52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ea…1bd8backed No52c37.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed No52c37.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed No52c37.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed No52c37.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x366f…f952backed No52c37.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc915…2b84backed No52c37.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aea…5b13backed Yes50c36.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes42c35.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.571,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a6…541ebacked Yes72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.092979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4be…0c16backed No58c33.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No56c33.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5711145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.