Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe01bffdea2da30c30b6a220648cd09fa905f4f2af14756b8d7b3f934999ee669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 36c | 1,060$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.02 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 24c | 1,022$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.18 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 16c | 679.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 57c | 677.95$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.49 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 677.66$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.35 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 488.24$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 25c | 468.4$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 466.64$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 64c | 437.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 432.24$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.81 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 66c | 290.72$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 213.54$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 203.84$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 27c | 199.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Yes | 25c | 137.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 25c | 118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 14c | 99.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 26c | 95.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 26c | 70.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 69.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4260…1ddfbacked Yes | 46c | 64.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 25c | 53.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 28c | 38.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed No | 73c | 36.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 32.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 76c | 32.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…f153backed Yes | 44c | 28.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 69c | 26.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 67c | 24.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 67c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 18.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze end in a draw?this page
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05?Yes won
- Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.