Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. Gran Canaria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe033178ae67e20ba14b3ac7150fb46f77b464706f57dd29db34fbf8cb79696df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Saski Baskonia, Gran Canaria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Gran Canaria | 56c | 1,041$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.2 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Saski Baskonia | 61c | 1,030$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.46 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Gran Canaria | 42c | 833.59$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.42 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Gran Canaria | 21c | 806.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.56 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 548.87$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Saski Baskonia | 47c | 300.76$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 224.34$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saski Baskonia | 48c | 182.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Saski Baskonia | 57c | 171.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Saski Baskonia | 65c | 151.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Saski Baskonia | 45c | 148.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Saski Baskonia | 47c | 134.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Gran Canaria | 30c | 125$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Gran Canaria | 30c | 123$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Gran Canaria | 20c | 121.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saski Baskonia | 54c | 112.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Saski Baskonia | 57c | 104.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Saski Baskonia | 73c | 99.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Gran Canaria | 45c | 95.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Gran Canaria | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gran Canaria | 17c | 87.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gran Canaria | 38c | 79.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saski Baskonia | 46c | 72.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Gran Canaria | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Gran Canaria | 29c | 58.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 52.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…1d37backed Saski Baskonia | 69c | 49.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 48.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Saski Baskonia | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Gran Canaria | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Gran Canaria | 47c | 38.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Saski Baskonia | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Saski Baskonia | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Saski Baskonia | 55c | 24.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.