Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Preußen Münster vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe06b935838e94392aa260c5a98f912f121fd59d935c4f1c5dd60ae74b776596b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,298 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 924.35$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 606.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.68 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 382.89$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 50c | 270.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 60c | 256.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ef…a1c6backed No | 42c | 198$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 39c | 184.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 61c | 164.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 88.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 58c | 86.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 60c | 84.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 61c | 82.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Yes | 60c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 47.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 39.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 55c | 38.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 60c | 34.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 60c | 33.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 40c | 28.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 51c | 21.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Preußen Münster vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Preußen Münster vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Preußen Münster vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Preußen Münster vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Preußen Münster vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)SC Preußen Münster won
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-2.5)SC Preußen Münster won
- Spread: SC Preußen Münster (-1.5)Hertha BSC won
- Spread: SC Preußen Münster (-2.5)Hertha BSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.