Us Politics · resolved market
NYC congestion pricing repealed before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe07861f37bec2dd71c4c4f577a92524e0a816f07b5801bfcc2b863ea2288be0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked No | 77c | 3,487$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 38c | 1,282$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.12 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d19…8055backed No | 78c | 1,221$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 5c | 1,118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 3c | 1,059$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6612backed Yes | 11c | 942.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 8c | 604.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 22c | 604.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 460$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 5c | 448.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 17c | 346$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 42c | 324.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 280.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 11c | 240$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 48c | 207.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 40c | 201.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 15c | 201.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc032…6668backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 159.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked No | 78c | 127.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 12c | 118.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 109$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…51edbacked Yes | 35c | 56.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 51c | 36.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…b11cbacked No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 50c | 21.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 43 | 86%37 W · 6 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.