CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe08769f448244dfc5dd7d77d48f1f6d94290f558e8b77c55f3d7b3b3db32ed2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof megoshort, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed megoshort | 45c | 2,468$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.31 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked megoshort | 57c | 2,323$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.66 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked megoshort | 48c | 1,805$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.48 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 47c | 1,220$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.9 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed CSDIILIT | 55c | 964.05$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CSDIILIT | 57c | 942.6$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed megoshort | 30c | 568.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.38 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed CSDIILIT | 16c | 555.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…e2fabacked CSDIILIT | 55c | 544.56$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed megoshort | 36c | 443$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.21 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 427.39$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.72 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked megoshort | 42c | 335.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.22 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked CSDIILIT | 57c | 284.44$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed megoshort | 56c | 281.42$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked CSDIILIT | 53c | 232.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 224.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed CSDIILIT | 43c | 209.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed CSDIILIT | 61c | 206.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked megoshort | 33c | 193.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked megoshort | 31c | 192.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed CSDIILIT | 65c | 188$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CSDIILIT | 53c | 161.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked megoshort | 33c | 143.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked megoshort | 42c | 106$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed megoshort | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed CSDIILIT | 59c | 96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked megoshort | 37c | 93.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed megoshort | 31c | 88.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked CSDIILIT | 58c | 74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked megoshort | 28c | 71.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed megoshort | 47c | 67.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 35c | 67.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed CSDIILIT | 48c | 60.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed megoshort | 43c | 57.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed megoshort | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked CSDIILIT | 53c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked megoshort | 32c | 52.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked megoshort | 62c | 48.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked megoshort | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked CSDIILIT | 58c | 47.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked megoshort | 44c | 46.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827d…a53ebacked megoshort | 37c | 40.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed megoshort | 36c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed CSDIILIT | 50c | 35.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked megoshort | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed CSDIILIT | 54c | 34.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed CSDIILIT | 58c | 34.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked megoshort | 38c | 27.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed CSDIILIT | 61c | 24.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…ebfdbacked CSDIILIT | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3715backed CSDIILIT | 54c | 22.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed CSDIILIT | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed CSDIILIT | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked CSDIILIT | 59c | 20.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked CSDIILIT | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagemegoshort won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
- Map Handicap: CSDIILIT (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)megoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.